Showing posts with label Mike Huckabee. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Mike Huckabee. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 29, 2008

OK Mitt, now what?

Well, I was wrong about tonight's results. Mitt Romney did not win, and now he's in a bit of trouble. In fact, tonight probably couldn't have gone much worse for Willard. Not only did John McCain beat him in a "closed" primary, but Rudy Giuliani will drop out tomorrow and endorse McCain, and Mike Huckabee will not drop out, causing Mitt to split the votes of social conservatives with the Huckster.

It's been clear to me for a while now that Romney just can't stand losing. Not that he is a "bad loser" in the classic sense--it seems that he is gracious to a fault--but he doesn't know how to deal with it. To a certain sense I guess that's a good thing--no one wants to accept failure--but man it's hard to see mi try to deal with it.

In his concession speech tonight, Mitt seemed to be almost on the verge of tears. Perhaps he was just losing his voice a little (it has been a long campaign) but I thought he was going to break down during his speech. He also rushed through it and was almost hollering, like a kid trying to convince himself to be tough in the face of adversity. It was almost uncomfortable to watch.

It will be very interesting to see how Romney responds. When he went negative in New Hampshire, it turned voters away and sealed the victory for McCain. But he can't win without being aggressive. The other part of the problem with ratcheting up the fight is that Mitt doesn't take it nearly as well as he dished it out. His Achilles has always been his loss of composure in the face of direct attacks. He imploded in the final 1994 Senatorial debate when attacked by Ted Kennedy, and his worst debate performances in the presidential cycle have been those where he was attacked by his fellow candidates.

Just as an aside...one of the things that bothers me the most about Romney is his compete inability to do anything original. His surfing for positions and pandering for votes has been well documented, but now it's gotten to the point where he is stealing the campaign signs of his opponents, right down to the font.

change

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Quick Florida Prediction...Romney by a hair

A perfectly styled and sprayed hair...

Romney.......34%
McCain........32%
Giuliani........17%
Huckabee.....14%
Paul............3%

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Tuesday, January 15, 2008

Michigan Prediction: Romney Wins

Who wins tonight in Michigan? Here is my prediction:

Romney. . . . 35
McCain. . . . .31
Huckabee. . .15
Thompson. . . 7
Giuliani. . . . .7
Paul. . . . . . . 5

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Thursday, January 10, 2008

"We had no bridges falling down in Arkansas." and other thoughts on tonight's GOP debate

I had just about lost interest in blogging the presidential debates, since there are just so many times that the same candidates can answer the same questions from the same reporters. Then, just like that, the whole campaign became compelling again. So here we go with tonight's big Republican debate from South Carolina…

There is nothing less shocking than the head of the South Carolina Republican party being named Katon Dawson.

Hey look, the Lawrence Welk singers are bringing us the national anthem.

Brit Hume is wearing a Robert Kraft shirt. I don't get the white collar with the blue shirt.

Saying that Massachusetts keeps adding jobs after he left office doesn't speak well of Mitt, it speaks well of Deval Patrick.

Mitt and McCain mixing it up already on jobs in Michigan. Let's hope they keep this up all night.

Shorter McCain: Vote for me. I'll be mean to Congress.

Huckabee knows his audience. He says "dudn't" instead of doesn't.

I wonder how Giuliani decides whether or not to wear glasses on a particular night. He's wearing them right now. Saturday, he went without them for the first half and wore them for the second half.

I'm not really listening to the answers very closely. I don't think I've missed much.

McCain talking about Reagan being both a tax cutter and a spending cutter is revisionist, to say the least. While the economy improved under Reagan, the deficit exploded. He certainly was not a balanced budget guy.

I'm convinced that Fred Thompson is just stringing together clichés and cute sayings. 80% of what he says is just filler to get from one slogan to another.

Huckabee seems tentative.

Reagan! Reagan! Reagan! Reagan! Reagan! Reagan!

Looks like Romney is going to wrench the anti-Washington thing into every answer.

That Fred Thompson tirade against Huckabee seems like a set-up. "Hey, can I jump into answer a question I wasn't asked and not answer it, but list all of Huckabee's faults instead?"

Giuliani worked for Reagan. I don't know if you knew that.

Brit Hume looks bored. I don't blame him.

Brit's question to Huckabee essentially is suggesting that the US should have attacked Iran over the naval incident a few days ago.

Now there you go, Fred. Nothing brings down the house of Republicans like jokes about Muslims and virgins.

Hume is desperately trying to get someone to say they would blow up those Iranians boats.

Funny that Mitt Romney, who cries about the way other candidates speak to him, insults Ron Paul in almost every debate.

McCain says that General Petraeus is the one who should decide when the troops come home. I don't like that idea at all. I don't think our civilian leaders should abdicate their responsibility to run the military. Our military leaders should be answerable to civilian leaders, not the other way around.

I don't get McCain's joke about trading with Al Qaeda and one-way tickets. Not funny. I find it interesting that none of the candidates will debate Paul directly, they just snipe at him with one liners.

I can't believe that Romney thinks we can prop up moderate Muslim states. He is so naïve.

Paul isn't getting a lot of traction with voters, I suspect, but he seemed to set the debate in that section. And I take back what I said about no one addressing his points directly. To his credit, Huckabee was willing to debate him.

If Romney has been hearing so much about how Washington needs to change, why did it take him two losses to finally start talking about it?

"We had no bridges falling down in Arkansas." That was part of a very good defense of his record as governor, but I think he muffed the line I think he meant to say "we had no tunnels falling down in Arkansas," which would have been an excellent jab at Romney.

Carl Cameron looks like a frog.

I wonder if Rudy is aware that he's been lampooned about his constant mention about 9/11. He got a question about his leadership on 9/11 making him qualified to be president, and he skirted it. We're 85 minutes into the debate and I don't believe Rudy has mentioned it once.

Gov. Huckabee, why do you think women should be slaves to their husbands? What an excellent answer. Marriage is not a 50-50 deal; it's a 100-100 deal. Carl Cameron thought he would play gotcha, and Huckabee hit that one out of the park.

The answer about electability may have been Paul's best moment of the campaign. For the first time, I heard him succinctly describe why he is running and why the current Republican party as lost its way. Not that it will get him elected, but it's about time.

These commercials with the frightening old people that look like food creep me out.

Same old same old on immigration, so I'm going to wrap this up...

I thought Huckabee did well. He was under attack (both from Thompson and the Fox questioners) and he answered the questions confidently. McCain was also credible. I don't think he was great, but he didn't hurt himself.

If there was a loser, it was Fred Thompson. He was a caricature of a political candidate. He just indiscriminately tosses one-liners out there. I also thought Giuliani did poorly. He needed a breakthrough and didn't get it. After being the center of attention for the last few debates, Romney seemed to just be there.

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Tuesday, January 8, 2008

McCain and Obama to win N.H., Romney survives

Quick predictions on tonight’s election results from New Hampshire. First the Republicans:

McCain........34%
Romney.......32%
Paul...........13%
Huckabee.....10%
Giuliani.........5%
Thompson......4%
Others..........2%

I had originally thought Mitt Romney would be finished if he lost here. But now I’m not so sure. He’ll probably be able to spin the result as a virtual tie, and try to get his first win in Michigan next week, which could set up an interesting dynamic.

Where exactly do we stand if Romney, John McCain and Mike Huckabee have each claimed one state going into the back-to-back primaries in South Carolina and Florida? And let’s say for a moment that Rudy Giuliani is able to win in Florida, which he is counting on in order to stay in the game into February? Could we have four “front-runners” going into February 5? Could the nomination still be up for grabs after that date?

And does Paul get a boost by finishing in the top three?

The Democrats look to be a far less muddled picture:

Obama........43%
Clinton........33%
Edwards.......15%
Richardson.....6%
Kucinich........2%
Others..........1%

It ought to be over tonight with a 10-point win for Barack Obama. John Edwards will probably hang on through South Carolina, hoping that he can beat out Hillary Clinton there and be the last opponent for Obama going into February 5. I’m guessing Clinton is in the race to February one way or the other, since she has support in some of the big states of the Northeast and in California. But regaining footing after another big loss might be impossible. I see two potential wildcards:

What does Richardson do before Nevada? He has a lot of support from the unions there and could sway the outcome in that state if he drops out. If the unions throw their support behind Clinton, does she have a chance to stop the bleeding with a win there? Does Edwards gain their votes and push Clinton to the margins?

The other issue is what to do with Florida. If Clinton is desperate for a win before February 5, does she defy the party (who has pledged to shut out Florida’s delegates because they scheduled their primary too early) and campaign hard in Florida? Maybe a win in a crucial swing state would give her momentum going into February even if the result is cosmetic.

But all of that is probably moot unless Obama commits a huge blunder. After tonight, he will have an air of inevitability around him that should easily carry him to the nomination.


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Huckabee wins...

...the endorsement race, not New Hampshire.

But which candidate do you want: the one who will kick his enemies in the groin,

or the one who will serve them tasty warm oatmeal?

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Friday, January 4, 2008

As I was saying...

I feel pretty good about my predictions last night. I nailed the Republican side with the exception of Fred Thompson.

Candidate....Me....Actual
Huckabee......34..........34
Romney.........27..........25
McCain.........16...........13
Paul.............10...........10
Thompson.......7...........13
Giuliani...........5............4

I was off on the Democratic side, getting John Edwards and Barack Obama flip-flopped. I also greatly overestimated the ability of the bottom four candidates to be viable. But I did correctly predict Hillary Clinton would finish third.

So what's next? Armageddon in New Hampshire. Neither Mitt Romney or John McCain can afford to lose New Hampshire. The loser is out. On the Democratic side if Obama wins, it's over. If Clinton or Edwards wins, we're in for the long haul.

The campaign over the next four days is going to be incredibly brutal, starting with tomorrow night's debates. I can't believe I'm writing this, but it's a tossup right now whether or not I watch the debates or stay with the NFL playoff game.

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Wednesday, November 28, 2007

Mitt's "Sanctuary Mansion" and other thoughts on tonight's GOP debate, Part 2

All right, here comes the second half of the debate, (part one is here) started by a crazy gun nut.
  • Speaking as someone else from a small town, I don't have any affinity at all for guns.

  • The whole gun thing is weird to me. This guy is asking about an old Giuliani quote suggesting that gun owners should have to take a test. Here's the thing I find fascinating. Many Republicans who would be against a "test" to own a firearm would, in some cases, be the same people who would be in favor of similar restrictions on voting rights.

  • Mitt Romney: The way to fix the problems of the inner city are to get "more moms and dads." Oh brother! What a naive gas bag. Would Romney be willing to allow the illegal immigrant mothers and fathers of American citizens to stay? That would keep more moms and dads in the inner city.

  • Giuliani is really in a rough spot with the gun control laws and abortion questions.

  • Huckabee is so good. I'm telling you, he could almost convince me that the Death Penalty is OK. He can't, but he's a very attractive candidate.

  • Oh geez, and now they ask Giuliani about the Bible. Could he be any more uncomfortable?

  • Why can't Mitt Romney answer a simple question about whether or not he believes the Bible is literal or not? Any time he is asked a yes or no question, you can see that he just dies inside.

  • Huckabee, on the other hand, hit the question out of the park. What a contrast. Where it was obvious that Romney and Giuliani were scared to death of answering incorrectly, Huckabee is obviously so comfortable with the topic (as an ordained minister) that he could say that parts of the Bible were allegorical and you knew he meant it, and believed it.

  • Funny stuff from Giuliani. King Kong and less snow. Nice.

  • This woman is dressed like a Muslim and has an Arabic sounding name, but she keeps saying "eye-rack" instead if "ee-rock". She sounds more like George Bush Sr. than someone of Middle Eastern descent.

  • What a bunch of war-mongers. McCain can't have it both ways. Saying he's in favor of the war and the surge, but that he's against Rumsfeld won't fly as well as he thinks it will.

  • Andrew Jones of Seattle, WA has the American flag backwards in his video. I wonder if he realizes he's being unpatriotic.

  • Oh, there goes Romney again, explaining why he won't answer a question. This thing about not wanting to answer about waterboarding because he doesn't think a president should tip his hand about what interrogation techniques is baloney. He doesn't want to answer because he doesn't want to be pinned down by his opponents.

  • Good for McCain for skewering Romney on his wishy-washiness. Either you're for torture or you're an American.

  • Thompson is just a taller older Mitt Romney. He doesn't stand for anything either.

  • Well, I guess it took me about 95 minutes to be totally fed up with these guys. I should get a medal for my patience.

  • I give McCain credit. I think he's a true believer. I think he's wrong, but I think he is genuinely committed, unlike President Bush, who goes along to get along.

  • Thompson wants a powerful VP because if elected, he plans on napping frequently.

  • Have you heard that Duncan Hunter built a fence?

  • What an uncomfortable round of applause for the gay man. I wonder how many people in the room are seeing an openly gay man for the first time.

  • So let me get this straight, political conservatives shouldn't be forced to fight along side gays?

  • And there goes Mitt dodging again. Either you stand by your support of gays in the military, or you no longer support it. This "I'm going to do what the military leaders tell me to do" is both disingenuous and dangerous. It's disingenuous because he's obviously just trying to avoid answering (for good reason, either he's a flip-flopper or a liberal based on his answer). It's dangerous because the president is the civilian in charge of the armed forces, not the other way around. He is elected to tell the military what to do, not to take orders from them. If we wanted to take orders from generals, we would have set this country up as a military dictatorship.

  • No Rudy, Blacks don't vote for Republicans because they know that 1/3 of you hate them and wish the Confederacy had won.
And my tape has run out. Guess the debate ran a little long.

Winners and Losers? I'd say the Huckabee train continues to pick up speed. He was really good. I think he connects with voters and comes across as a leader. Giuliani and McCain were OK, although Rudy had a rough when the subject turned to guns, abortion, and the Bible. Romney had a really bad night, to the point that he was being booed and heckled after the 14th time he refused to give a straight answer. Thompson was also a disappointment.

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Mitt's "Sanctuary Mansion" and other thoughts on tonight's GOP debate, Part 1

You're looking not quite live at...well, I'm not exactly sure where they're at, but it doesn't really matter since the questions are all coming via YouTube. It's the Republicans' turn, and you just know they're terrified of being the one to get the question from the snowman. And away we go...
  • They're in St. Petersburg, Florida, FWIW.

  • I would not have figured that big guy would have that little squeaky voice, although I hear that's not too unusual for Florida's Republicans.

  • Did Duncan Hunter just say "Thanks Dad?"

  • Governor Crist just called the Colorado rep "Tom Cantredo."

  • OK, enough of this stuff, let's get on with it.
  • Chuck Norris in the house.

  • Oh Dear God, here we go. A friggin' song? This is worse than that awful Terry Cashman stuff they insist on singing at Fenway whenever the Red Sox have a ceremony. I'm embarrassed for these guys.

  • Can you really "deploy a fence," Rudy? How do you do that?

  • Mitt Romney owns a "sanctuary mansion." Nice line. That is the way to go after Mitt. Get him riled up. That's exactly what Ted Kennedy did when Romney started to challenge him in 1994. Get him red-faced and let him implode. Good start for Rudy.

  • I wonder how many Canadians really want to come here right now. If I lived in Canada, I'm not sure what America holds at this moment in history that would be more attractive than the great white North.

  • The idea of cutting off federal money for sanctuary cities is more bluster than anything else. How much federal money actually goes directly to American cities?

  • Good grief, who is the Hank Williams, Jr. wannabe?

  • Tom Tancredo: "I'm not going to aid any more immigration into this country."

  • Sigh. Duncan Hunter continues to claim "I built that fence." If it's the last thing I do, I'm going to find a picture of Duncan Hunter building that damn fence.

  • Mike Huckabee gave an excellent answer on education for children. Romney seems like a grinch in comparison. I think Huckabee won the day.

  • Unbelievable. Ron Paul actually does believe in the North American Union. This guy gave him a softball where he could have proven that he isn't really a nutcase, and, well...he is really a nutcase.

  • Instead of sending bills full of pork back to congress, I wonder if Romney would rather send it to the Muslims he won't appoint to his cabinet. That'll show 'em.

  • Fred doesn't have the kind of specific answers that this questioner wants. He has no idea of three programs to cut.

  • These guys are serious about dumping the income tax. I'll go on the record right now as saying they'll never dump the income tax.

  • The US did not allow Hitler to come to power through isolationism. To blame WWII on the America First crowd as McCain did is an incredible distortion.

  • Looks like no one in Florida cares at all about farm subsidies. Those of us in Massachusetts don't either.

  • Oh good, here come the videos. And Tom Tancredo can't even string together a 30-second clip of his speeches without stammering and fumbling his words. He might be the least articulate candidate since Admiral Stockdale.

  • Duncan Hunter wants us to Buy American. Good Luck. I don't think there is any way we can go through a day without using anything from overseas. In fact, my shirt was made in Bangladesh, my slippers were made in China, my running pants are a product of Taiwan, and my underpants are from El Salvador. If I only went American, I'd be naked most of the time.

  • Fred Thompson's little video was an attack ad? Are you kidding me? The man clearly has no rationale for running. He has nothing to say.
It's been 55 minutes. I'll end the first round here. I'd say Huckabee and Giuliani are probably winning so far. Romney has been battered pretty hard and hasn't looked good. Thompson hasn't been very good either. More to come...

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Monday, November 19, 2007

Now this is a political ad

Best ad of the year, courtesy of the Mike Huckabee campaign.



Wednesday, November 14, 2007

Mike Huckabee: Let's get it on

Mitt Romney decided to attack the one guy on the stump who is sharp enough and funny enough to give it right back, and Mike Huckabee did not disappoint:
Romney criticized Huckabee...for tuition breaks for children of illegal immigrants while governor of Arkansas. "Giving a better deal to the children of illegal aliens than we give to US citizens from surrounding states is simply not fair and not right..."

...Huckabee was more pointed in his response to Romney: "I guess Mitt Romney would rather keep people out of college so they can keep working on his lawn, since he had illegals there."
Zing! That's awesome.

Wednesday, September 5, 2007

Tonight's GOP Debate -- Winners and Losers

There were a couple of parts of the debate worth watching, especially the mini-debate between Ron Paul and Mike Huckabee. For that reason alone, those two candidates definitely came out of tonight's debate as victors. Mitt Romney was the clear loser.

I think people who write off Ron Paul as a loon--especially in New Hampshire--will be in for a surprise come primary day. I've said it before: if there is one place in the country where Ron Paul could resonate with voters on a broad scale it is New Hampshire. Republicans in New Hampshire are uncomfortable with the government-first philosophy of the modern neo-conservative Republican party, and Ron Paul will be the beneficiary.

Mike Huckabee was the other big winner. He speaks with a sincerity lacking in most of the other candidates, and his spirited defense of our involvement in Iraq while facing off with Paul showed some real passion. I would not be completely stunned if he were to be the surprise of the spring, and come out of nowhere to claim the nomination. I think he's that good.

Mitt Romney, on the other hand, saw for the first time the perils that go along with being the early frontrunner. He was hammered early and often by the panelists, and he did not respond well. He contradicted himself at times, and hedged on some of his answers to the point where both his opponents and his questioners were calling him out. He was racing through his answers and just appeared completely uncomfortable. Romney has the inside track to the nomination, but if he keeps performing like he did tonight, he's in huge trouble.

Dishonorable mention goes to Tom Tancredo, who was cackling and snickering nearly every time Ron Paul was asked a question, or Mitt Romney was dinged. What a clown.

"Problems like this" and other thoughts on tonight's GOP debate -- Round 2

You're looking live at the University of New Hampshire in Durham where the Republican candidates for president are competing in the first official debate of the Republican campaign. That's right, all of the other debates were just the preseason.

Part 1 is over, now we're back from the commercial...
  • McCain, why won't Giuliani be a good president? Michelle suggests that McCain looks dead. He didn't answer the question, by the way.

  • Rudy Giuliani just said that he hopes to visit Iraq by the end of the year without a crush of publicity. What, does he want to go over there on a vacation? He can't really think we're so stupid to think that he doesn't want publicity if he visits Iraq. There is no ohter reason for a presidential candidate to go.

  • Romney, why is Hillary Clinton tougher on Iraq than you are? Well, the surge is working, we're really patriotic, and someday we need to move the troops to a support role. Have I avoided the question well enough, Wendell?

  • McCain picked up on it too. Chastizes Romney for hedging by saying the surge is "apparently working." I don't agree with McCain, but at least he believes in something. He sounds much more certain about his position than Romney does.

  • Ron Paul is just as certain about his position that we shouldn't be there at all. Chris Wallace tries to suggest that Paul is taking his marching orders (about withdrawing fron the region) from al Qaeda. Paul strongly and forcefully defends his position.

  • And an actual debate has broken out. For the first time two candidates (in this case Huckabee and Paul) are actually conversing about an issue in a back and forth, not just spewing soundbites. Huckabee wants to stay so we can fix what we broke, Paul wants us to get out because we shouldn't compoud our mistakes by being afraid to admit them. It's about time we had a discussion, instead of a recitation of answers and talking points.

  • Is there any way to take the starch out of a good debate than to turn the floor over to Duncan Hunter? Talk about a let down. Maybe he could build a fence around Iraq.

  • Here's the thing about our "success" in Anbar province, and the "success" of the surge: Extra troops concentrated in an area will be successful in tamping down violence just because they are there. But once they leave to go to another area, the violence re-erupts. The only way a "surge" could work is with so many troops that we controlled the entire country. We don't have that many soldiers.

  • Mitt is getting hammered again, this time by a father of a soldier in Iraq, about Romney's suggestion that his sons' "service" in his campaign was as important as that of the soldiers in Iraq. He avoids the answer. He again hedges on whether or not the surge is a success, and Brit Hume calls him on it. He's starting to talk fast. He's getting hammered and not responding well.

  • And now they ask Mitt if he'd wiretap mosques without a warrant. A no win question. If he says yes, he's trampling on liberties (which won't play well in N.H.). If he says no, he appears soft on terror to the base. He says no, and is talking very fast. He says he would wiretap a church if he had to, and that the most important civil liberty is to stay alive (Patrick Henry is rolling over in his grave). Romney is absolutely immolating.

  • Torture? Tancredo, yes. McCain, no.

  • RUDY GIULIANI SUGGESTS THAT GUANTANAMO INMATES BE RELEASED IN BOSTON....Oh, was that a hypotheical, he didn't really suggest that? OK. Never mind.

  • Duncan Hunter suggests that no Democrat can say that the prison in his or her district is as safe as Guantanamo. I say that no Republican lawmaker can say the prison in which he or she is incarcerated is as safe as Guantanamo.

  • Sam Brownback thinks he and his vice president should have "complementarity." That's either a $10 word or a Bush-ism.

  • I'm getting bored. Can we get back to Paul and Huckabee debating an issue?

  • McCain, why do refuse to take the "no new tax" pledge? Because I don't need to take a crazy pledge for you to believe me. Good answer.

  • I wonder how the Red Sox did? They were down 3-2 in the fifth last I checked. I'm planning on watching the rest of the game on tape once this thing ends. I couldn't care less about which of these guys has cut the most taxes.

  • Romney getting hammered on raising fees on the blind! The AP says his nickname was FeeFee. Never heard that before, but that's fantastic. Sounds a little bit French. He's still talking really fast.

  • Tancredo is laughing again, at the idea that Ron Paul wants to cut just about everything.

  • This goofball asking about Giuliani shouldn't beat around the bush. If you want to know why he has been married more than once and why he's bunked with gay friends between marriages, just ask. Don't stammer some crap about family values.
That's it. They're going to come back with some hypothetical question pulled from the new season of "24" or something. I have no interest in hypotheticals.

Winners and losers to come.

"Problems like this" and other thoughts on tonight's GOP debate -- Round 1

You're looking live at the University of New Hampshire in Durham where the Republican candidates for president are competing in the first official debate of the Republican campaign. That's right, all of the other debates were just the preseason.

Brit Hume is buttering up the good people of New Hampshire by stroking the hockey team. And the chairman of the NH GOP is name Fergus Cullen. Fergus Cullen. Could there be a more obvious name for a New England Republican? Was Snooty McStuffedshirt already taken? (Oh wait, someone with an Irish name could never rise to the top of the Republican party. Never mind.)
  • Who is smarter, you guys or Fred Thompson? Obviously not Mike Huckabee, if he actually did turn down Leno (and I'm sure he didn't, just pandering).

  • Is that Tom Tancredo cackling? I hope they leave his mic on to cackle like that all night.

  • John McCain calls Thompson old. And Tancredo cackles again. He tells a Mo Udall joke, and then has to explain why it's funny, since the crowd didn't laugh.

  • Mitt appears to be wearing a peach-colored tie. A bold statement, indeed. Probably his boldest statement of the night.

  • Wallace pounding away at Romney. Hey wait, did Romney just say that we don't expect our people to go to their contractors and ask them to check ID cards? Isn't that exactly what we are asking companies to do? If you are strongly against immigration, why wouldn't you ask the people you hire if they employ undocumented workers?

  • And now it's Giuliani's turn. Now that is a pretty good answer. He wasn't going to leave crimes unreported because the victims were undocumented, and he wasn't going to let 50,000 children go without services for the same reason. That's probably the most realistic answer I've heard from these guys on this subject yet. Of course, that means it won't be popular with most Republicans.

  • John McCain laughing at his own jokes. Another mention of Romney's lawn. Romney tries to play it off, but he sounds peeved.

  • Huckabee, are people who oppose immigration reform racist? Some of them are, yes. UPS and FedEx track packages by placing bar codes on them and scanning them at every stop along their way. Is he suggesting we should all have a bar code that can be scanned as we go from place to place? Kind of scary.

  • Question to Duncan Hunter about the border fence. Bet you dollars to donuts that he mentions that he built the first fence...Yes! Four words into his answer, he built the fence. With his own two hands!

  • Carl Cameron interviewing a cop from Haverhill. He's talking longer than any of the candidates, something about immigrants. Giuliani wants to use heat-seeking missiles or water cannons or some kind of newfangled technology to keep them out.

  • Right, Romney says we should target companies that sign up illegal immigrants. But 15 minutes ago, he suggested that people like him shouldn't be expected to not hire illegal immigrants. I don't think he has any idea what comes out of his mouth from one answer to the other.

  • Oh good, a Larry Craig question. Senator Brownback, what's the deal with him? Well first, Larry should stay resigned. Second, we should be the party of family values. Not sure what that has to do with the question.

  • Duncan Hunter, Should Larry go immediately? When Republicans have "problems like this" they leave, when Dems do, they get leadership positions. Hmmmm, he must be calling being gay a problem, because he certainly can't be suggesting that Republicans who get arrested just leave.

  • Romney twisting himself into a pretzel trying to explain his abortion position. He's just making it up now.

  • If there was anyone who could get me to oppose abortion, it would be Mike Huckabee. He can't, however.

  • Was there really a 59% higher chance of being a victim of a crime in Boston than New York while Rudy was mayor? Sounds fishy to me.

  • Ron Paul, do you really think the passengers aboard the planes on 9/11 should have carried guns? Listen, it doesn't matter who is in charge of airline security, I can't think of a worse place to allow guns than in an airplane. One shot through the fuselage and the whole thing would go down. What a stupid idea.

  • Hey Ms Republican, should gay marriage be abolished via a Constitutional Amendment? No. This is the live free or die state. We should be able to marry who you want to. What do you think about that, Sam Brownback? I think that if we let gays marry, we'll end up with more children born out of wedlock. That might be the stupidest answer I've ever heard. Michelle just asked our dog if Brownback is crazy.
End of the first half. More to come.

Sunday, August 5, 2007

"I changed my position." and other thoughts on today's Republican debate -- Part 2

(Part 1)

Finally back from commercial. I wonder if they were waiting for Tommy Thompson to get back from the men's room...
  • A YouTube style video asking about Cheney's abuse of power. McCain says "I would make certain that everyone knows there is only one president." Pow!

  • Giuliani: War, war, Islamic war, terrorist war. Did I say war? He'd go back to the Reagan-Bush model.

  • Mitt pandering to the pro-Bush crowd. They've made us safe. Too sugary sweet.

  • Brownback said something. I wasn't paying attention. I was talking about laundry. I doubt I missed much.

  • Huckabee is in favor of the fair tax. No more drug dealers, prostitutes when we have the fair tax. What the hell? Does the fair tax eliminate the need for sex and weed? Will they become legal as long as they're taxed?

  • Tom Tancredo actually has a good argument on this. He's right that the current tax code is just a way to get people to do what the government wants them to do. I'm guessing that he is not consistent with that argument when it comes to non-tax issues.

  • Brownback wants an optional flat tax? Why would I want to opt to pay a tax?

  • What was your greatest mistake? Hunter, contemplating running for Congress as a Democrat.

  • Paul says he isn't forceful enough. Cop out.

  • Huckabee's biggest mistake is getting fat. At least that's a real answer.

  • Mitt Romney's biggest mistake was running as a pro-choice candidate. Oh brother! He can talk about it all he wants, but the abortion issue is not going away.

  • Giuliani refuses to answer, but gets away with it because he makes a funny joke.

  • McCain got himself put in a Vietnamese prison. I'd say that qualifies.

  • Brownback doesn't say he loves his kids enough.

  • Tommy Thompson gave all of his relatives breast cancer. No, wait. He wasn't supportive enough.

  • Tom Tancredo took 30 years to find God.

  • On another note (and the final question), Tancredo will restore hope to the office of the president.

  • Tommy Thompson would open up the East Wing. Has it been boarded up? I don't get him at all.

  • Brownback would rebuild the family. Apparently he thinks Jenna and Barbara are bad kids or something.

  • McCain loves America. Doesn't answer the question.

  • Giuliani will also restore hope. And not be like the Democrats.

  • Mitt has made a pigs breakfast of his answer. Something about the Gettysburg address and strengthening America or something. These guys have lost the sense of the question, which is what would you restore to the presidency.

  • Huckabee will work for the people and put up a citizen of the month photo. Probably give them a special parking space too.

  • Paul would restore openness to the government and would not use executive privilege to cover up.

  • Hunter would restore economic patriotism. That means nothing. Talk about a bunch of hooey. And he keeps talking about his son in Iraq. How about just running on your record, not on your son's back.
Well, that's enough of that. I thought Giuliani won, in the sense that he controlled the discussion. Romney recovered from his tough start, and seemed fairly presidential. Ron Paul also did well. Of the upper-tier candidates, McCain was ineffective. He looks like a man whose time has come and gone. Tommy Thompson was so bad, it's almost sad.

Democrats have a debate with Keith Olbermann Tuesday night. See you then.

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"I changed my position." and other thoughts on today's Republican debate -- Part 1

You're looking live at Des Moines, Iowa, where the Republican candidates for president are....OK, who's kidding who? This debate was held at 9:00 am in the East, 8:00 am in Des Moines. No one watched this debate live. It's a Sunday morning, what were they thinking. The hell if I'm going to get up early to watch these nine goobers debate. I recorded it and am now turning it on about 8:30 pm.

  • This is the first Republican debate in Iowa? What have they been doing for eight months.
  • These guys all look like they are still half asleep, except for McCain, who appears to have had a bunch of coffee.

  • And away we go...Sleepy Sam Brownback, what's the deal behind your robocalls? Well, Mitt is a loser, I said so, and my ad is true.

  • Mitt, are any of those facts untrue? Pro-life. Pro-life. Pro-life. I won't answer your question, I'm pro-life. Mitt isn't doing well, he's stammering. "I changed my position." No kidding. That will be the punch-line of any number of commercials. He's going to wish he hadn't said it that way. It is the perfect sound bite.

  • So Mitt, since you've said that a candidate should speak for himself, why did you say these things about Rudy Giuliani? Tough job being the front-runner, eh Mitt?

  • Giuliani defending his pro-choice position well, saying it's about keeping government out of personal decisions. That's the only way to go if he's going to neutralize this question.

  • Tommy Thompson looks like a bullfrog. Hey Tommy, Is Giuliani a good Catholic? No, but let's talk about issues, George, not about each others attacks.

  • For what it's worth, George is off to a good start if the debate is supposed to be a "Gotcha!" exercise, but he's not yet asked a candidate to explain their own position. Every question has been couched in "this guy stands for this, is that right?" That's a lousy way to run a debate.

  • McCain isn't as awake as I thought he was. That's what happens when Tommy Thompson speaks. That and the dog starts barking.
  • Softball to Ron Paul, how do we get out of Iraq? ABC knows how he's going to answer, and they are going to use his strong anti-war answer as a foil for the rest of them.

  • Oh, and why is Duncan Hunter talking about about Russia and the Berlin Wall? "I was there when we did Central America." So was David Vitter. (Tip your server and try the veal. I'll be here all week).

  • Mike Huckabee is the only one who sounds grounded. I don't agree with him on much, but he sounds like he's reasonable.

  • Sam Brownback looks puffy. Too much sun maybe? Not enough sleep?

  • Looks like the one black Republican in Iowa got a good seat right behind Stephanopolous and where the cameras can see him.

  • McCain thinks that if the Iraqis can come together to celebrate soccer, they can form a nation. And that is why he's past his prime.

  • Romney with a good line: "In one week, Obama has gone from having tea with our enemies to bombing our allies." A wax figure of Ann Romney nods in agreement.

  • Tancredo is pissed that he hasn't had a question yet. And now he's yelling. I'd do just as well not hearing him again. He apparently thinks we haven't pounded the Iraqis enough. I get the idea that if he were president, he'd say "go ahead, kill them all. Let me know when you're done."

  • Tommy Thomson looks like a milk jug. Michelle says he looks "like a caricature," but she can't put her finger on exactly what.

  • He's still talking. I need a nap.

  • Paul: "We can achieve much more in peace, then we can in these illegal unconstitutional wars."

  • McCain just said he was "one of [the war's] greatest critics." Is he senile? Has he been paying attention to himself for the last four years?

  • Huckabee wants to give the people the same health care plan that congress had. John Kerry ran on that platform last time and lost. Nice to see that's back on the table.

  • Tommy Thompson says: "The problem is, Governor Huckabee is correct." I say the problem is, Tommy Thompson looks like a beanpot.

  • Duncan Hunter says it's not the government's job to provide "womb to tomb" health care. And he blames the immigrants.

  • These guy depress me. "More market forces in health care" is another way to

  • Oh look, here's Obama's head on a platter. Take a swing...Rudy agrees! Wow, someone agrees with a Democrat. Mitt doesn't, he's going back to the meet with our friends, bomb our enemies thing. I don't think it's a bad thing for Obama to have all of these out-of-touch Republicans criticize him for being out of touch.

  • George finally asks a good question. So Bush wants to spread democracy around the world, and all of these Middle Eastern nations keep electing radical enemies of the US. What do you think of that? Huckabee talks about something else. Paul calls

  • Giuliani says Democracy is more about rule of law than about elections. That is what it's all about right there. That is why, no matter how progressive Giuliani sounds on some issues that I cannot imagine voting for him. If he has to choose between rule of law or elections, he thinks "rule of law" comes first. And the rest of them do too. Good grief.

  • Mitt Romney wants to "move the world of Islam toward modernity." I'm sure they appreciate that. Not at all condescending and paternalistic there Mitt, huh?

  • Tommy Thompson is completely incoherent.

  • Whoever had Sam Brownback in the Ronald Regan sweepstakes, come up and cash in your ticket. I don't think he realizes that Egypt is already a democracy.

  • Huckabee with a strong answer on infrastructure. Giuliani has decided that he's going to talk about the "liberal Democrats" in every answer. He knows that he is soft on conservative issues, so his strategy is obviously to look more conservative by talking about the Democrats each time.

  • But...I think Giuliani is winning the first half. He seems to be setting the tempo. A number of the other candidates have been piggybacking his ideas, he seems like the leader on the stage.
Time for a break. More after the commercial.

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Tuesday, May 15, 2007

"The stockpile does a great job" and other thoughts on tonight's debate

Well, it's the Republicans again, this time on Fox News and from South Carolina. Let's get right to it...

  • One good thing about John McCain...if he were to become president, he would be a perfect fit for Disney's Hall of Presidents. He moves his arms as though he's an animatronic figure.

  • Does Tommy Thompson realize that we're fighting in Iraq, not Ireland? He keeps referring to "Prime Minister O'Mallekey."

  • Sam Brownback is going to hurt himself if he keeps banging his pinkies on the table.

  • I like the bell, by the way.

  • OK Rudy, if the terrorists are already here, then the argument that they will follow us here if we leave Iraq is irrelevant. Don't you see that you're arguing against yourself?

  • It's interesting that Chris Wallace asked Ron Paul if he was running for the nomination of the wrong party. There was a time when Libertarians were more closely tied to the Republicans. Now people like Paul are asked if they should be Democrats.

  • Jim Gilmore looks like he's wearing his Masonic ring.

  • Oh, cut it out Mitt. You didn't "raise taxes" but you hiked fees across all state agencies. Call it what you will, but it's the same thing.

  • Oh, ha ha! John Edwards at a beauty shop. Hee Hee. Did you get those cufflinks at Wal-mart, Governor Huckabee?

  • For what it's worth, I'm distracted by cufflinks. They bother me. I've always seen them as a sign of elitism.... Giulaini has buttons on his cuffs, so does Brownback. Gilmore, Huckabee, and Thomas have cufflinks.

  • Tommy Thompson: "The stockpile does a great job" but there are inefficiencies in "the stockpile." What the hell is he talking about?

  • Ron Paul: buttons. He speaks with the most conviction of any of the candidates. With his brand of libertarian conservativism, he could be a factor in New Hampshire if he had any money.

  • What a weaselly answer from Gilmore. He suggests that his opponents aren't real conservatives, then refuses to name who, suggesting that we'll have to go to his website tomorrow to find out. Grow a backbone, man.

  • Tom Tancredo gives me the opportunity to run to the fridge...

  • Commercials? Who goes to commercial during a debate?

  • Mmmmmm, Frozen orange juice.

  • Huckabee just said he was the first governor in Arkansas's history to reduce taxes. I'm guessing that's a bit of hyperbole there.

  • Mitt: definitely cufflinks, if there was any question. He's talking too fast in attempting to argue his conservative credentials. He sounds like he's lying, or at least unsure of how his answer will be received.

  • Brownback just stepped in it. He had a chance to align himself with Reagan on immigration and in trying to do so, he used the "A-word." You can't call immigration reform "amnesty" if you're for it, and you certainly can't accuse Reagan of being for it.

  • Auuugh! Giuliani just told a crowd of white Sons of the Confederacy that he couldn't see how anyone could be in favor of owning slaves.

  • Brownback thinks having an abortion would be worse for a rape victim than being forced to carry a child borne out of evil. Unbelievable.

  • Giuliani is not very funny. Every attempt at humor has fallen flat. He needs to dress up like a woman or something in order to get a couple of laughs.

  • There Hunter goes again saying he "built the fence" in San Diego. I've gotta say I don't believe him. I think I'm going to see if there are any pictures of Hunter building the fence.

  • And I just missed Ron Paul's point on Iraq. Let me rewind...Ah, he just said that we were attacked on 9/11 because of our presence in the Middle East. Giuliani takes the opportunity to demagogue, and misquotes Paul. He did not say we were attacked because of our attacks in Iraq. But at least Giuliani got his sound bite. That will probably be the lead bite on all of the news shows tomorrow.

  • McCain is still pandering on the Confederate flag issue.

  • Tom Tancredo gives me the chance to put eye drops in. My allergies are acting up. And another commercial, how convenient.

  • Cool, an essay question. Let's hear how they answer.

  • Giuliani: Every method they could think of? So in other words, you wouldn't use techniques as outlined in our military and intelligence procedures, you'd tell our people to use "every method they could think of?" Scary.

  • Gilmore frequently avoids answering the question.

  • Tancredo doesn't see the irony about using any means, including torture, to save the US as the last best hope of Western civilization.
And apparently the debate ran long, because the DVR just shut off. Ah well, can't imagine I missed much. I thought Fox did a much better job that MSNBC did a couple of weeks ago. I thought they kept up the pace and spread the questions around. I also thought that they had some appropriately tough questions. I was especially impressed by Wendell Goler. Perhaps the Democrats should reconsider their decision not to appear on the network.

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Thursday, May 3, 2007

"I don't want to be president of a sad nation..." and other thoughts on tonight's debate

Tonight it's the Republicans' turn. Where the Democratic debate was pretty tame--the candidates essentially agree on most of the issues and are just arguing around the margins--the Republican debates could be much more entertaining. These guys run the gamut from pro-war to anti-war, pro-choice to pro-life, anti-immigration to proposing paths to citizenship. You name it, and these guys disagree. Hopefully the sparks will fly.

Just to get my biases out on the table again: I am a Democrat who supports Bill Richardson at this early juncture. The chances of me voting for one of these guys is very slim, but I'll be watching just the same.

And now live from the Reagan Library, it's Chris Matthews...
  • Tommy Thompson got the first "good grief" from Michelle as the most odd looking candidate.

  • Rudy Giuliani tosses in a "Shining City on a Hill"

  • John McCain thinks the war is on the right track, terrorists "will follow us home." Democrats are for surrender.

  • Thompson says we should get out if the Maliki government asks us to. He also is apparently for federalism. He thinks the civil was will end if they split into the 18 United States of Iraq. Seems naive.

  • Mitt Romney gives Reagan a big smooch. We need to stay in Iraq now so we don't have to go back.

  • Sam Brownback suggests we're partnering with a number of moderate Muslim regimes. Mentions Egypt and Pakistan. Matthews wants to know why the people in those countries don't like us. Just five minutes in, he's already doing a much better job than Brian Williams.

  • Men with suits and silk ties vs. soldiers with mud and blood on his boots. Nice visual by Mike Huckabee. I'll bet he uses that one in each of his speeches.

  • Jim Gilmore with another Reagan smooch.

  • Ron Paul wants "non-intervention." You know, he could have hammered the rest of these guys. He ended up giving a good answer about historical reasons for non-intervention.

  • McCain can't be excited about having Fred Thompson mentioned as the context for his question. He refuses to answer the question of whether or not Iran has committed acts of war.

  • Looks like Tom Tancredo doesn't want this question. Something about the 12th Imam and bombs, no answer to the question. Boy he doesn't sound like he has the first idea what he'd do here. Maybe he'll just build a fence to keep the bad people out.

  • McCain claims that Iran was so scared of Reagan, they released the hostages two minutes after he was inaugurated. What a crock of baloney. The Iranians had decided to release the hostages before he was released, they held them until the inauguration to stick it to Carter. (Fourth smooch of the night).

  • Romney getting a question about his Osama faux pas last week.

  • McCain says he will follow Osama to the Gates of hell. Many of us agree.

  • Amend the constitution to allow foreign-born Americans Romney no, Brownback no, Huckabee no, Gilmore yes, Duncan Hunter no, Thompson, no, McCain maybe (only if he endorses me, probably his most honest answer of the night!), Paul no (Chris Matthews: "Oh God!"), Giuliani yes, Tancredo no.

  • Romney can't come up with one thing he doesn't like about America? And another Reagan smooch. What a gasbag!

  • Just tell us if you think global warming exists or not. The rest about being good stewards, etc. is a good answer.

  • Does Tancredo have a plan to address shortage of organs? Weird question. Tancredo again has no idea what he's talking about.

  • Duncan Hunter is a compassionate conservative who wants to show it by bombing people on the other side of the world.

  • Roe v. Wade repealed good or bad: Giuliani: OK either way, ugh! Take a side, man!

  • Gilmore says he supports abortion during first trimester, with limits. Good for him for not fudging.

  • Thompson against Roe v. Wade because he wants to leave it up to the states, not to dump it altogether.

  • Romney says he changed his mind because of cloning. Another Reagan smooch. Is it a flip-flop? Filibustering.

  • Brownback with another Reagan smooch, would be able to support a pro-choicer if a Republican.

  • Giuliani trying not to say he favors funding of abortions. Matthews has to go back at him three times before he stammers out an actual position. This is a perfect example of why Matthews is so much better at this that Brian Williams was with the Dems. He doesn't let them weasel out of many questions.

  • McCain with what sounds like a closing statement. "I don't want to be president of a sad nation..." John McCain. He'll turn that frown upside down.

  • What the...? Huckabee compares hikers stranded on a mountain with adolescent suicide bombers. Says the "culture of life" is what separates us from the Muslims. OK, sparky.

  • Thompson thinks businesses should be able to fire homosexuals. Ooooh -boy.

  • Romney: we don't choose a leader based on which church they go to. At least that's what you are hoping for. He's wearing a shirt with cuff links. That's always bugged me. I don't know, but I think I'm more comfortable with people who wear shirts whit button cuffs.

  • Brownback: "Senator Lieberman, a Jew..."

  • Duncan Hunter: "I built that fence." One board at a time, I'm sure.

  • Jim Gilmore doesn't want to talk about Karl Rove. I don't blame him.

  • Giuliani is going along to get along. He says he thinks the rise of the religious right has been good for the party. He doesn't think that, he's lying.

  • Looks like Matthews has thrown his hands up and said "the hell with this." Tells Thompson to talk about whatever he wants.

  • Tommy Thompson: "I'm a reliable conservative, I've vetoed 1900 things." I guess that says it all. Vote for me because I'm against everything. Another Reagan smooch! A big one.

  • If I follow Brownback correctly, the best way to address the political scandals of the last six years is to cut the number of children born out of wedlock and clean up the language on records. Huh, didn't know Abramoff, Foley, and Cunningham were gangsta' rap-listening bastards...

  • Another Reagan smooch by Tancredo. Has anyone said a centrist is necessary to win? I haven't heard anyone say anything about centrists? What station is he watching?

  • McCain needs to stop pointing and pounding his lectern. I don't know who told him he needed to be gruff in order to look like a leader. He is coming across as an angry old man. A Reagan smooch.
  • And another wet kiss from McCain. His first cut will be to defense. Huh?

  • Too early to give the president a grade on Iraq? What have you been watching the last four years, Huck.

  • Thompson smooches Reagan while evading a question on race.

  • Tom Tancredo, who else should be the nominee if it's not you? Ronald Reagan! (just kidding.)

  • Duncan Hunter didn't watch "An Inconvenient Truth" and he wouldn't admit it even if he did.

  • Ron Paul, awakened from his nap, can't come up with a critical decision he's ever made.

  • Jim Gilmore's answer to mothers in prison who leave kids behind is "we need to uphold the law" or some such pablum. Please, just a little nuanced thinking would be appropriate, unless you think most Republican primary voters are moronic automatons (don't answer that).

  • Stem Cell research: mushy answer from Romney. Brownback, no. Gilmore, no. Huck, no. Hunter, no. Thompson, mushy. McCain, yes, and an unrelated smooch to Mrs. Reagan. Paul, no, because it's not constitutional. Giuliani, Yes. Tancredo, no.

  • Romney defending the Mass. health-care plan. He's repeating himself. Market, market, market. Now he wants to cut capital gains taxes to zero. I'll bet he does.

  • The problem with McCain's plan to give a $3,000 tax credit for people to buy health insurance is that it would essentially be a huge government giveaway to big insurance companies.

  • Duncan Hunter isn't as clever as he thinks he is. The best thing about the government is the ability to bomb al Zarqawi. Har Har.

  • Giuliani is hoping that he's correct about the difference between Shia and Sunni Muslims. He doesn't look like he's sure.

  • Gilmore with a Reagan smooch.

  • Giuliani refuses to come up with a weakness. I don't think that flies with people. We don't expect our candidates to grovel at our feet, but be honest. We can all tell you what your weaknesses are, can't you see them yourself?

  • A national ID card, another bad idea. Hey, something I agree with Tancredo on.

  • Mitt Romney with a "Gang of Three" reference, Clinton, Pelosi and Reid. There's a blast from the past. He ran against a "Gang of Three" in 2002 when he was running for governor. I believe it was Tom Finneran, Shannon O'Brien, and Robert Travaligni.

  • Duncan Hunter with a Reagan smooch in reference to Schiavo.

  • Ron Paul ends by saying he'll "never abuse habeas corpus." Now there's something I can get behind.


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