Saturday, October 14, 2006

NFL Picks, Week 6

For entertainment purposes only. Picks are against the spread, straight up winners are in bold.

Updated Sunday, 10:10pm: Ugh! What a brutal week!

Cincinnati (-5.5) over Tampa Bay (L, 13-14)
Tennessee (+10.5) over Washington (W, 25-22)
Dallas (-13) over Houston (W, 34-6)
Buffalo (-1) over Detroit (L, 17-20)
Seattle (-3) over St. Louis (L, 30-28)
Atlanta (-3) over N.Y. Giants (L, 14-27)
Philadelphia (-3) over New Orleans (L, 24-27)
Baltimore (-3) over Carolina (L, 21-23)
Miami (+2.5) over N.Y. Jets (L, 17-20)
San Diego (-10) over San Francisco (W, 48-19)
Pittsburgh (-7) over Kansas City (W, 45-7)
Denver (-15) over Oakland (L, 13-3)
Chicago (-10.5) over Arizona (L, 24-23)

Against the Spread

LAST WEEK   5- 6- 3  .464
TO DATE 40-28- 6 .581
THIS WEEK 4- 9- 0 .308
SEASON 44-37- 6 .540

Straight Up

LAST WEEK  13- 1  .929
TO DATE 53-21 .716
THIS WEEK 6- 7 .462
SEASON 59-28 .678



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Friday, October 13, 2006

Kerry Healey lost the election today

The Lt. Governor was probably going to lose anyway, but after what might be the lowest smear I've ever seen in mainstream politics, her campaign is finished.

I'm talking about the story in this morning's Herald that Deval Patrick's sister was raped by her husband over a decade ago:

Deval Patrick's brother-in-law is a convicted rapist who has been notified by officials that he is in violation of laws that require sex offenders to register with the state, the Herald has learned.

Bernard Sigh was convicted in 1993 in San Diego of raping his wife, Rhonda, who is Patrick's sister. He pleaded guilty, served a short jail sentence and was put on five years probation, officials said.

The Massachusetts Sex Offender Registry Board sent Sigh a letter this week alerting him that he is required to register. The letter informed him he has 10 days to comply or he will face criminal prosecution, according to Kelly Nantel, spokeswoman for the state Executive Office of Public Safety.

Nantel said the board recently learned of Sigh's rape conviction and after reviewing his record, "determined he is required to register."


This story smells to high heaven, as media critic Dan Kennedy explains:

"Recently learned," huh? Rape is an incredibly serious crime, and if Sigh's got to register, then he's got to register. By the Herald's account, though, it does seem that there are some nuances worth considering. Sigh was convicted 13 years ago of raping his wife; they later reconciled, and they've lived quietly in Milton since 1997. Or at least they were.

The real story here is who tipped off the Sex Offender Registry and then leaked it to the Herald. This is really sordid stuff.


The other "real story" is that Patrick's opponents (despite my gut feeling, I hesitate to say "the Healey campaign" since there is no proof yet that an official campaign worker is directly involved in the leaking of the story) have finally gone so far that Patrick is ready to fight back. He took the hits over the LaGuer case and the Songer case without much retort. But he's not taking it anymore:

I got into this race with no illusions. In a world where negative campaigns are commonplace, I expected to have my own accomplishments trivialized, my own judgments questioned, my life choices challenged. I haven't always liked it, but I knew it was a price I would have to pay to be an agent of change -- not just in our policies, but in our politics.

And I took the time to prepare my family for what I thought would be coming.

My sister and her husband went through a difficult time, and through hard work and prayer, they repaired their relationship and their lives. Now they and their children -- who knew nothing of this -- have had their family history laid out on the pages of a newspaper. Why? For no other reason than that they had the bad luck to have a relative who is running for governor. It's pathetic and it's wrong. By no rules of common decency should their private struggles become a public issue. But this is the politics of Kerry Healey. It disgusts me. And it must be stopped.

Kerry Healey has never offered a single reason why she should be governor that doesn't depend on tearing me down. She has no vision, no plan, no positive agenda, and no leadership experience. Her record on jobs and the economy, on health care, on higher education, on crime has been one of shortcuts, gimmicks and failure. And so rather than deal with that, she has done everything she can to change the subject.

Well, my message to the Healey campaign is that I will not let you run from your record any longer. You can try all you want to change the subject and shift the blame, but we are going to expose for all just how your failed policies and your failed politics are the reason so many people are stuck and struggling and losing hope. The garbage peddlers who shopped this story around town are part of that failed politics, too.

We are going to ask the people to choose whether the politics of fear, division and personal destruction is what they want or whether we're better than that and are ready to finally throw out those who dump this trash in the public square.

We need a change. Gimmicks, slogans and dirty politics is no substitute for progress. The politics of fear is no acceptable alternative to the politics of hope. That's the change we need. And if anybody in the Healey campaign or in the public thinks I am unwilling to fight for that, you have badly underestimated me.


I thought the questions about Patrick's roles in the LaGuer and Songer cases were legitimate. I completely disagreed with Healey's position on those issues and thought that she overplayed her hand with the gloom-and-doom commercials and by parading victims rights advocates and old Florida lawyers onto a stage, but I didn't think the basic questions were out of bounds.

Dragging Deval Patrick's sister into the gutter inhabited by Kerry Healey's supporters and baring her secrets in front of the world and her children is a dirtier tactic than I could have imagined. I think many voters will think the same thing. And I think they will start turning away from Healey in droves. I'll bet yesterday's poll showing that Healey had closed within 13 points will be as close as she gets.

What did Patrick's opponents have to gain through this smear? They believe the public will think that Deval is so "soft on crime," that he tolerates a brother-in-law that would rape his sister. Too twisted to be true?

So the question is, was Patrick really "unaware" of the need for a convicted rapist to register as a sex offender, or does he just not see rapists as sex offenders?

Clearly, Patrick has a soft spot for rapists like Benjamin LaGuer, why not his own brother-in-law too? Did he conveniently become unaware that his own brother-in-law had to register?

I don't think many other voters will come to the same conclusion. Rather, they will see this story for what it is: the lowest, dirtiest smear the state has ever seen. And they will punish Kerry Healey for it.

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Wednesday, October 11, 2006

Matt Lorch? Yuck!

Michelle and I both cringe when we see channel 7's new anchor Matt Lorch. He's unwatchable. Yet, channel 7 must love him, since he seems to be absolutely everywhere.

It looks like we're not alone. Universal Hub points out that another local blogger "really, really, really hates Matt Lorch." Meanwhile, Bruce at Boston Sports Media Watch posted an old video of Matt Lorch when he was a little less smug:



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Tuesday, October 10, 2006

Sentinel and Enterprise blows it on Deval

The Sentinel and Enterprise had an opportunity to lead the way in covering the Deval Patrick-Ben LaGuer controversy, and they fumbled their chance away. Worse than that, their editor embarrassed himself and his paper with a cliched, poorly written and improperly placed column Sunday which belied the paper's failure to cover the story with the fairness and effort it deserved.

Let's start at the end. After failing to add anything substantial to the Patrick-LaGuer story in the ten days since Leominster mayor Dean Mazzarella spoon-fed the story to the Sentinel, editor Jeff McMenemy penned a column Sunday titled "Deval Patrick just doesn't get it." Rather than bringing anything resembling an original thought to the page, McMenemy essentially reprinted the scripts of Kerry Healey's campaign commercials:

Patrick again defended his actions on behalf of the convicted killer [Carl Ray Songer] and again said he was "proud," of his work on the killer's behalf.

"The issue in this case was whether the appropriate punishment was death or life in prison," the Patrick campaign said in an e-mail sent out. The federal appeals court agreed with (Patrick) that the death sentence violated the Constitution of the United States."

I'm not a lawyer, like Patrick, but I spent 10 years covering courts and crime in three states -- I've probably seen the inside of more criminal courthouses than Patrick ever has or ever will -- yet I don't understand how this poor cop killer's Constitutional rights were violated by giving him the death penalty.

To me, putting a convicted killer to death seems like not only the fair thing to do, but the right thing to do....

He'll also likely raise your taxes, increase the already bloated state bureaucracy, give in-state tuition rates for illegal immigrants and fight against charter schools.

The smug McMenemy, veteran of a decade of taking notes from the courtroom gallery ought to take better notes. I'm not sure how he doesn't "understand how this poor cop killer's Constitutional rights were violated by giving him the death penalty" after writing a sentence previous that "the federal appeals court agreed with (Patrick) that the death sentence violated the Constitution of the United States."

Actually, I am sure. It's because the entire thing is a recitation of the stuff we've been seeing in TV ads and hearing on talk radio for two weeks. McMenemy is nothing more than a lazy parrot, devoid of anything original. At least some of Patrick's critics can articulate a rationale to vote against him that doesn't devolve into a series of tired talking points. The editor of the Sentinel is not one of them.

But as tired as McMenemy's piece was, he compounded the issue by posting the piece in the news section of the online Sentinel and Enterprise. As much as I disagree with McMenemy, he certainly can fill his weekly column with whatever tripe he sees fit. But a scrupulous editor would keep it in the opinion section where it belongs. A hack would disguise it as "news." Perhaps if McMenemy had studied journalism more closely than he studied constitutional law, he'd have a better handle on the difference between news and opinion.

Not that this is the only example of the Sentinel screwing up this story. In fact, the Sentinel has been two steps behind the story every step of the way, despite being in a position to lead the coverage.

Near the end of last month, Mayor Mazzarella decided it was time to step into the spotlight and advance his name recognition, profile, and the candidacy of the Lt. Governor he had supported in 2002. So he dropped a dime on the Sentinel and the Telegram & Gazette and started the ball rolling on the story that has dominated state politics for the better part of the last two weeks.

The Sentinel was on the story first, yet despite being the paper of record in the city where LaGuer raped his neighbor, they did not follow up. They printed the original story on September 28, followed that with an article the next day chronicling Patrick's response, and then nothing for nearly a week, until running a story on October 5 which was basically an interview with Kerry Healey and a recitation of the case. In the meantime, the Boston Globe was doing the legwork to find the extent of Patrick's involvement in the case.

While I realize the Globe has infinitely more resources than the Sentinel, the local paper had the advantages of being local: they knew the players, the community, and the history behind the case. The paper did not use any of those advantages, instead waiting for someone to break the rest of the story before reacting. For instance, the October 5 article basically is a rehash of the Globe stories of the day before. "Healey's statements came on the day the Boston Globe reported that Patrick wrote letters between 1998 and 2000 to the state parole board, asking that LaGuer be released," wrote reporter J.J. Huggins.

Huggins also adds "
Patrick's letters to the parole board, which the Sentinel & Enterprise obtained Wednesday, show Patrick supported LaGuer as recently as six years ago, not 10 years ago like he told reporters in a statement last week." Well, I "obtained" those letters Wednesday as well, along with anyone who looked them up on the Globe's Web site.

The next day, the Sentinel finally added a little local flavor, but it had nothing to do with adding to the story narrative, but instead consisted of "man on the street" interviews and reactions from local Democrats.

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Friday, October 6, 2006

The (Somewhere Short of) Great '80s

If you ever take for granted how lucky we are to be fans of the Red Sox and Patriots in this decade, I ask you to watch the following retrospective on the '80s from Bob Lobel and the sports crew at channel 4.


A few things stand out:
  • We were so proud of the Red Sox, Patriots and Bruins for just getting close. That's not good enough any more.
  • Both the Pats and Bruins had nicer uniforms then than now.
  • Bob Lobel had his own hair (and color).
  • "...Esasky's gone, we'll never win!" as though the only thing standing between the Red Sox and a World Championship was the loss of Nick Esasky!
  • I can't imagine how depressing a '90s "highlight" video would be.
(via BSMW message board)

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Thursday, October 5, 2006

NFL Picks, Week 5

For entertainment purposes only. Picks are against the spread, straight up winners are in bold.

Indianapolis (-18.5) over Tennessee (L, 14-13)
Carolina (-8) over Cleveland (T, 20-12)
Buffalo (+10) over Chicago (L, 7-40)
New Orleans (-6.5) over Tampa Bay (L, 24-21)
Miami (+10) over New England (T, 10-20)
St. Louis (-3) over Green Bay (T, 23-20)
NY Giants (-5) over Washington (W, 19-3)
Minnesota (-6.5) over Detroit (W, 26-17)
San Francisco (-3.5) over Oakland (W, 34-20)
NY Jets (+7) over Jacksonville (L, 0-41)
Kansas City (-3.5) over Arizona (L, 23-20)
Philadelphia (-2) over Dallas (W, 38-24)
San Diego (-3) over Pittsburgh (W, 23-13)
Baltimore (+4) over Denver (L, 3-13)

Against the Spread
LAST WEEK   9- 4- 1  .679
TO DATE
35-22- 3 .608
THIS WEEK 5- 6- 3 .464

SEASON 40-28- 6 .581

Straight Up
LAST WEEK  10- 4  .714
TO DATE 40-20 .667
THIS WEEK 13- 1 .929

SEASON 53-21 .716

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Patrick could have avoided this mess

Let's not forget that Deval Patrick could put all of the information about his involvement with the Ben LaGuer case out there on his own terms, and done so when everyone was preoccupied with other news.

As I wrote yesterday, if Patrick had been honest about his role in the LaGuer case when the opportunity first arose, he could have used it to his advantage. I'm not talking about the news reports that surfaced this weekend, I'm talking about the end of August, when the first round of stories about this issue broke.

The Herald first brought up Patrick's involvement with LaGuer on August 29 (quote via Hub Politics):

Democratic candidate for governor Deval Patrick once joined other pols and lawyers in backing a convicted rapist's bid for parole, support that is being highlighted on a Web site dedicated to the controversial case.

The Herald article didn't dig as deeply as recent Globe articles have, which should have given Patrick the opportunity to get his entire involvement with LaGuer out in the open in a context most beneficial to his campaign. Not only that, as Blue Mass Group pointed out at the time, the story was buried in the Herald because of interest in the John Mark Karr case.

In effect, Patrick had a "get out of jail free" card (brutal pun intended) and he blew it.

The Herald article also foreshadowed Healey's attacks on Patrick's record defending criminalssentencedd to death:
LaGuer is not the first convicted violent felon Patrick has backed. When he was an attorney for the NAACP's Legal Defense Fund in the 1980s, Patrick fought to save two cop killers from death row, winning one of the appeals.
It's hard to understand how Patrick let things blow up on him in the general election when he could have laid out his position during the primary season.

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Wednesday, October 4, 2006

Jackson at four months

Jackson's four-month "birthday" was Monday, here are some recent pictures:

Rooting on the Patriots.

Relaxing after a night on the town.

Looking up.

Busy at his desk.

Get it out there, Deval -- UPDATED

The one thing that gets politicians in trouble is their inability to get all of the information out ahead of a story. Their first reaction to a question or challenge about anything controversial in their past is to acknowledge as little as possible in hopes of getting the issue out of the way. Time and time again, if they would just own up to their positions, there would be no controversy.

Now, Deval Patrick is facing some pretty tough questions about whether or not he mischaracterized his involvement in the appeals of convicted rapist Ben LaGuer. From today's Globe:

....Patrick issued a statement suggesting he no longer supported the effort to free the convicted rapist. Patrick said he had reviewed the history of the case and concluded that "justice has been served," in light of a 2002 DNA test that confirmed the prosecution's case against LaGuer.

In the same statement, issued Thursday night, Patrick sought to minimize his ties to LaGuer: "My sole involvement in this case was more than 10 years ago, when I wrote a letter on Mr. LaGuer's behalf."

At an event last week he told reporters: "I know who he is. He is someone on whose behalf I wrote, I think, maybe 15 years ago."

His spokesman, Richard Chacon, told the Sentinel & Enterprise that Patrick's comments in support of LaGuer were made when Patrick was working as a lawyer at the National Association for the Advancement of Colored People in the 1980s.

But letters obtained by the Globe indicate Patrick's involvement was more recent and more significant than he has suggested. He wrote the Parole Board in 1998 and again in 2000. He also wrote at least twice to LaGuer himself, addressing the notes "Dear Ben."....

On Aug. 5, 1998, and again on April 3, 2000, Patrick asked the Parole Board to set LaGuer free.

The problem here is that Patrick could have released all of this info himself, and rendered this a non-story. Patrick is a civil rights lawyer. He has fought his entire adult life for fairness, and yes, that includes fairness for both the accused as well as the accuser. There were issues with the evidence and the original trial that convinced an awful lot of people that LaGuer deserved to be retried.

Lots and lots of people were shocked when the DNA tests concluded that LaGuer was the rapist after all. I don't think Patrick had any reason to shy away from his position, except for the reflexive instinct of politicians to hope that controversy goes away. had I been a Patrick advisor, my statement would have read something like this:

Recently there have been questions about a statement of support for convicted rapist Ben LaGuer that appears on a web site advocating for his retrial. In the years following his conviction, I came to understand through letters Mr. LaGuer wrote to me and a review of his trial that there were problems with his trial. As such, I advocated for Mr. LaGuer's appeals for retrial and parole through a series of letters to the court and to Mr. LaGuer himself.

In 2002, a DNA test concluded that Mr. LaGuer did, in fact, commit the crime. While I am still troubled by some of the irregularities at his trial, Mr. LaGuer has had his day in court, and the evidence he sought to exonerated him has shown the correctness of the verdict.
Now would that have been so hard? Just let everyone know that you thought the trial was shaky, you wrote a number of letters on LaGuer's behalf, the evidence proved him wrong, here are copies of the letters, and that's the end of the story.

UPDATE: Looks like Patrick's campaign was thinking the same thing, to an extent. From a press release:

Deval Patrick has said that almost 10 years ago he wrote a letter on Mr. LaGuer's behalf. He was not alone in expressing concern about the case at the time. Dr. John Silber of Boston University, legal scholars, newspaper editorials and many news reporters also expressed concern; indeed, several investigative reporters looked into the case and raised questions as well.

Deval felt strongly at the time-- and does so today-- that whenever issues of fairness are raised in our court system, they should be addressed in a serious manner.

Deval has said that after reviewing an update to the case--including DNA evidence that was not available at the time --he now feels that the right outcome has been achieved and that justice has been served in this case.

That's a pretty weak defense, essentially rehashing his earlier responses. He doesn't acknowledge the multiple letters to LaGuer. He does talk briefly about "issues of fairness," but doesnt make that the center of his statement.

Just as weak is his attempt to compare this to Lt. Governor candidate Reed Hillman's attempts to get parole for a friend who was serving time for DUI. Is it important? Yes. Should he use it as a way to muddle his own issues? No. Why not stand up proudly for your position--even if it was later proven incorrect--instead of bobbing and weaving?

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Tuesday, October 3, 2006

"Cool, a windmill!" and other thoughts on tonight's debate

After last weeks debate for governor, I vowed not to vote for Christy Mihos because he wanted to throw people in jail for driving with expired auto registrations. But tonight, he proposed that the state help everyone to buy their own windmill.

Not "a chicken in every pot and a car in every garage," but a windmill on every roof.

Inspiring, isn't it?

Well, that still won't be enough to get me to vote for Christy. Even if it were, I'd have to discard what might have been the most disjointed, rambling, cliche-ridden, stream-of-consciousness, manic debate performance I've seen in quite a while. Think of Admiral Stockdale on crack.

No, if I were to choose my candidate based solely on tonight's debate, I'd be voting for Grace Ross. She was really good. Of all of the candidates, she seemed to be the most comfortable speaking about the issues and how they fit into her view of government. She is unelectable for a bunch of reasons (no money, no major party support, uninspiring physical appearance to name a couple off the top of my head) but if we were back in the days when everyone got their news over the radio and third parties had a real opportunity to get votes, Ross would be a player.

(Of course under those circumstances, Mihos would automatically win, because a black man and two women would not even be on the ballot, but work with me.)

On the other hand, Deval Patrick again was trying to take the air out of the ball. He's way ahead, he knows it, and he's doing everything he can to make sure he doesn't make a mistake. In an effort to say nothing to offend, he ends up saying nothing at all. It's a good strategy if you're ahead. In a lot of ways, he reminds me of Bill Clinton in 1996: Agreeing with opponents, co-opting parts of their ideas when they are obviously attractive, and not taking the bait when he's attacked.

As in the last debate, I thought Kerry Healey was adequate. In fact, I thought she was a little better than last time. That might have been more because Mihos was flailing around and was unable to attack her as he did in the first debate. But I think she was also better at pointing out her difference with Patrick. Because of the order in which the candidates spoke and a format that did not allow them to spar with each other, Healey was able leave her attacks of Patrick unchallenged.

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