Wednesday, September 1, 2010

Earl: 5% Chance of "$10 billion disaster" in New England

I was just reading the Tropical Weather Blog at Weather Underground and was surprised to read this:
A deviation to the left, with a direct hit on eastern Long Island and Providence, Rhode Island, would probably be a $10 billion disaster, as the hurricane would hit a heavily populated area and drive a drive a 5 - 10 foot storm surge up Buzzards Bay and Narragansett Bay. The odds of this occurring are around 5%, according to the latest NHC wind probability forecast.
Whoa, whoa, whoa! The chance that Saturday morning we will begin cleaning up from a "$10 billion disaster" that would rival the Hurricane of 1938 are 1-in-20? This is news, no?


 

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